Diplomatic Assessment
Turkey's foreign policy under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is characterized by assertiveness and strategic ambition. Key elements include:
Military Interventions: Turkey has conducted military operations in Syria, backed Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and supported the Libyan Government of National Accord (GNA). These actions aim to expand Turkey's regional influence and counter adversaries.
Eastern Mediterranean Tensions: Turkey's drilling activities in contested waters have heightened tensions with Greece and Cyprus, straining relations with the EU and NATO allies.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Turkey has maintained a delicate balance in its relations with Russia and Ukraine. It brokered a crucial grain export deal and supports Ukraine militarily while preserving ties with Russia, highlighting its role as a key mediator.
Israel Relations: Relations with Israel have deteriorated, particularly over the Gaza conflict. Turkey's suspension of trade with Israel and strong support for Palestinian causes reflect Erdoğan's ideological stance and complicate regional dynamics.